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Will Vietnam's 2026 GDP growth reach the government's 10% target? Odds & Prediction 2026 | Agara
Will Vietnam's 2026 GDP growth reach the government's 10% target?
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Rules & Resolution
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vietnam's full-year 2026 GDP growth, as first published by the National Statistics Office of Vietnam, is 10.00% or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A figure of exactly 10.00% resolves to "Yes", matching the National Assembly's "at least 10%" target.
The resolution source is the NSO's Q4 and full-year 2026 socio-economic report at nso.gov.vn, expected in early January 2027 — the equivalent 2025 report was published on January 6, 2026. The first published figure governs. Subsequent revisions, re-estimates or re-benchmarking of the national accounts do not affect resolution, and statements by the government, the Prime Minister or the Ministry of Finance ahead of the NSO release do not count.
The figure is read at the NSO's published precision of two decimal places, with no rounding applied by the exchange. If the NSO has not published a full-year 2026 growth figure by February 15, 2027, this market resolves to "No".
